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Market Close: Jan 21 Mixed

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight – Be Safe Today
NYMEX Crude    $ 53.13 DN $.1800
NYMEX ULSD     $1.6006 UP $.0002
NYMEX Gas       $1.5479 UP $.0040
Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 20 Up

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight – Be Safe Today
NYMEX Crude    $ 53.24 UP $.2600
NYMEX ULSD     $1.6004 UP $.0017
NYMEX Gas       $1.5439 UP $.0058
NEWS
Oil prices rose on Wednesday, adding to solid gains overnight, on expectations the incoming U.S. administration will go ahead with massive stimulus spending that would boost fuel demand and draw down crude stocks.

WTI Crude futures climbed 26 cents, to $53.24 a barrel, on a 1.2% rise on Tuesday. Brent Crude futures rose 35 cents, or 0.6%, to $56.25 a barrel, adding to a 2.1% gain on Tuesday.

U.S. President-elect Jo Biden Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen urged lawmakers on Tuesday to “act big” on pandemic relief spending, reinforcing hopes of massive spending to boost growth. “Certainly the expectation is that will support better growth and better demand in the U.S.,” said National Australia Bank’s head of commodity research, Lachlan Shaw. However, the market remains concerned about near-term oil demand as the International Energy Agency cut its outlook for first-quarter oil demand by 580,000 barrels per day, due to tight lock downs and border closures to stop soaring Covid- 19 infections.

China’s capital Beijing on Wednesday announced stricter Covid-19 control measures and will shut down a subway station after the city reported its biggest daily jump in new Covid-19 cases in more than three weeks. The country is experiencing its most severe Covid-19 outbreak since March 2020 ahead of the key Lunar New Year holiday season. More than 20 provincial-level regions have asked people to stay put during the holiday. Germany on Tuesday extended a lock down for most shops and schools for another two weeks, to Feb. 14.

Traders will be watching out for U.S. crude and products inventory data due from the American Petroleum Institute on Wednesday and from the Energy Information Administration on Friday. Six analysts polled by Reuters estimated, on average, that crude stocks fell by 300,000 barrels in the week to Jan. 15, but expect gasoline stockpiles rose by 3.0 million barrels. Distillate inventories, which include diesel, heating oil and jet fuel, were seen up by 800,000 bbl.

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 19 Up

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight – Be Safe
NYMEX Crude    $  52.98 UP $.6200
NYMEX ULSD     $1.5987 UP $.0058
NYMEX Gas       $1.5381 UP $.0097
NEWS
Oil prices climbed with U.S. stock markets on Tuesday ahead of Joe Biden’s inauguration as U.S. president on optimism that more government stimulus will eventually lift global economic growth.

Brent Crude for March delivery rose $1.15, or 2.1%, to settle at $55.90 per barrel, while WTI Crude settled 62 cents, or 1.18%, higher at $52.98 per barrel.

Wall Street’s main indexes rose after upbeat earnings from big U.S. banks and comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen ahead of Biden’s inauguration on Wednesday. Yellen urged lawmakers to “act big” on the next coronavirus relief package, adding that the benefits outweigh the costs of a higher debt burden. “As we are approaching the beginning of the Biden administration era in the U.S., traders now have their hopes up for a rapid positive effect on markets coming from the promised ($1.9 trillion) stimulus package,” said Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets, Bjornar Tonhaugen.

Investors were also upbeat on demand in China, the world’s top crude oil importer, after data showed its refinery output rose 3% to a record high in 2020. Halliburton Co, meanwhile, predicted a recovery in the global oil and gas industry from the second quarter after the oilfield services provider beat profit estimates on cost cuts and modest gains in activity following last year’s slump.

And OPEC’s secretary general said he was cautiously optimistic the oil market would recover this year from the slump in demand brought about by the coronavirus pandemic. Crude prices rose even though the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its outlook for oil demand in 2021 but pointed to a recovery in the second half of the year to an annual average of 96.6 million barrels per day.

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 15 Down

Fueling Strategy: Please keep tanks topped today/tonight, Saturday prices will go UP 2 cents but will drop 3 cents Sunday- Be Safe
NYMEX Crude    $ 52.36 DN $1.2100
NYMEX ULSD     $1.5929 DN $0.0265
NYMEX Gas       $1.5195 DN $0.0343
NEWS
Oil prices fell more than 2% on Friday as concerns about Chinese cities in lockdown due to coronavirus outbreaks tempered a rally driven by strong import data from the world’s biggest crude importer and U.S. plans for a large stimulus package.

Brent Crude fell $1.32, or 2.34%, to settle at $55.10 per barrel, after gaining 0.6% on Thursday. WTI Crude settled $1.21, or 2.26%, lower at $52.36 per barrel, having risen more than 1% the previous session. Both benchmarks, which hit their highest in nearly a year earlier in the week, were are heading for their first weekly declines in three weeks.

While producers are facing unparalleled challenges balancing supply and demand equations with calculus involving vaccine rollouts versus lockdowns, financial contracts have been boosted by strong equities and a weaker dollar, which makes oil cheaper, along with strong Chinese demand. These positives were called into question on Friday as the dollar rose and China ramped up lockdown measures. A nearly $2 trillion COVID-19 relief package in the United States unveiled by President-elect Joe Biden may increase oil demand from the world’s biggest crude consumer. Still, some analysts said the move may not be enough to stoke demand. “In terms of being able to talk about demand, Asia was the only brightspot,” said John Kilduff, Partner at Again Capital Management in New York. “This renewed lock down is striking at the heart of the demand picture in Asia. It’s trouble.”

Crude imports into China were up 7.3% in 2020, with record arrivals in two out of four quarters as refineries increased runs and low prices prompted stockpiling, customs data showed on Thursday. But China reported the highest number of daily COVID-19 cases in more than 10 months on Friday, capping a week that has resulted in more than 28 million people under lock down as it suffered its first coronavirus death on the mainland since May.

“The COVID-19 pandemic’s spread is taking centre stage again and traders are getting increasingly worried about the long duration of European lockdown and about the new restrictions (in) China,” Bjornar Tonnage from Rystad Energy said. “The market is structurally bullish, but it may be getting too ahead of forward-looking fundamentals.”

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 14 Up

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed tonight, Friday prices will not change, Saturday prices will go UP 2 cents – Be Safe
NYMEX Crude    $ 53.57 UP $.6600
NYMEX ULSD     $1.6194 UP $.0205
NYMEX Gas       $1.5539 UP $.0051
NEWS
Oil producer group OPEC on Thursday kept its 2021 forecast for global crude demand growth unchanged, but warned uncertainties over the impact of the coronavirus pandemic remain high. The closely watched oil market report comes as Covid cases continue to surge worldwide, with new lockdowns imposed in Europe and parts of China. In recent weeks, optimism about the mass rollout of coronavirus vaccines appears to have been tempered by the resurgent rate of virus spread. It has resulted in oil producers trying to orchestrate a delicate balancing act between supply and demand as factors including the pace of the pandemic response continue to cloud the outlook. “Uncertainties remain high going forward with the main downside risks being issues related to COVID-19 containment measures and the impact of the pandemic on consumer behavior,” OPEC said Thursday. “These will also include how many countries are adapting lockdown measures, and for how long. At the same time, quicker vaccination plans and a recovery in consumer confidence provide some upside optimism.”
The 13-member group said it expected global oil demand in 2021 to increase by 5.9 million barrels per day year on year to average 95.9 million barrels per day. The forecast was unchanged from last month’s assessment. The group said world oil demand growth in 2020 declined by 9.8 million barrels per day year on year to average 90 million barrels per day. The group noted the fall was marginally less than expected in December. OPEC said its 2021 forecasts “assume a healthy recovery in economic activities including industrial production, an improving labour market and higher vehicle sales than in 2020.” “Accordingly, oil demand is anticipated to rise steadily this year supported primarily by transportation and industrial fuels,” the group said.
OPEC and its non-OPEC allies, an alliance sometimes referred to as OPEC+, cut oil production by a record amount in 2020 in an effort to support prices, as strict public health measures worldwide coincided with a fuel demand shock. OPEC+ initially agreed to cut output by 9.7 million bpd, before easing cuts to 7.7 million and eventually scaling back further to 7.2 million from January. OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia has since said it plans to cut output by an extra 1 million barrels per day in February and March to stop inventories from building up.
International benchmark Brent Crude crude futures traded at $55.77 a barrel on Thursday, down 0.5% for the session, while WTI Crude futures stood at $52.76, around 0.3% lower. Oil prices are currently on pace for their third consecutive week of gains. “Anyone who keeps his or her finger on the pulse of the oil market knows that prices are currently driven by expectations and not by immediate realities,” Tamas Varga, senior analyst at PVM Oil Associates, said in a research note. “Those who disagree are recommended to have a quick look at the forecasts of H1 2021 oil demand over the past few months and compare these estimates with price developments,” he added.
Ahead of Thursday’s publication of its oil market report, OPEC had steadily lowered its demand growth forecasts for 2021. Other major forecasters, including the International Energy Agency and the U.S. Energy Information Administration, have also downgraded their oil demand growth estimates for 2021 in recent weeks.
Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 13 Mixed

Fueling Strategy: Please keep tanks topped today/tonight, Thursday prices will go UP 2.5 cents – Be Safe
NYMEX Crude    $ 52.91 DN $.3000
NYMEX ULSD     $1.5968 UP $.0001
NYMEX Gas       $1.5488 DN $.0042
NEWS
Last year’s worst is now this year’s best. Energy is the top-performing sector now, up nearly 15% since Jan. 1 amid falling US Crude oil inventories. The group suffered a horrible 2020, losing over 37%. Though energy’s long-term outlook is dimming, the sector isn’t void of opportunity, Mark Tepper, president and CEO of Strategic Wealth Partners, told CNBC’s Trading Nation on Tuesday. “This is a very tricky sector,” Tepper said. “In my opinion, I think this is no longer a buy-and-hold sector. It’s more of a trade. I don’t care what time frame you use — three years, five years, 10 years — the energy sector has been underperforming the S&P over any of those time frames by double digits annualized.” That should continue as clean energy adoption accelerates, but in the meantime, there appears to be one potentially valuable trade in the making, Tepper said.

“Here’s the opportunity: Oil has found support. Unfortunately, it’s because of a reduction in supply rather than an increase in demand. Oil’s down about 3% now year over year whereas energy stocks are down about 30% year over year. So, there’s definitely the possibility of a catch-up,” he said. “My favorite play here is Diamondback,” Tepper added. “It’s a pure play on the Permian [Basin]. It’s down about 30% year over year. They’re a low-cost producer. They’re one of the few companies that can actually make money if oil were to drop back down to the $30-40 range. And it’s got a pretty decent dividend as well.”

WTI Crude Oil prices were below $53 on today.

With demand falling and the Covid pandemic backing up inventories, Chantico Global founder and CEO Gina Sanchez also anticipated longer-term softness in oil prices. “The estimates are that we’re probably going to recoup about two-thirds of that demand, and that’s good, except that we went into Covid with already a massive inventory of excess supply of oil, and during Covid, guess what? Those inventories grew,” she said in the same interview. “It is going to take us about a year to burn off the excess supply that we have sitting in inventory right now before we can actually see support to oil prices,” said Sanchez, also chief market strategist at Lido Advisors.

For now, Sanchez is steering clear, noting that while demand might recover, it may not be enough to offset industry shifts years in the making. “We’ve got a lot of oil to work through before we’re actually running any kind of a shortage, and so, prices are probably going to be somewhat soft,” Sanchez said. “The long-term trend, as Mark said, … has been down. We have seen technological innovation in oil that’s been driving down prices for a decade. So, I think it’s a challenge. I think the rotation into clean energy is probably the play for the next many years.”

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 12 Up

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight, Wednesday prices will fall less than one cent – Be Safe
NYMEX Crude    $ 53.21 UP $.9600
NYMEX ULSD     $1.5967 UP $.0232
NYMEX Gas       $1.5530 UP $.0322
NEWS
Oil hit an 11-month high towards $57 a barrel on Tuesday as tighter supply and expectations of a drop in U.S. inventories offset concerns over climbing coronavirus cases globally. Saudi Arabia plans to cut output by an extra 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in February and March to stop inventories from building up. The latest U.S. supply reports are expected to show crude stocks fell for a fifth straight week.

Brent Crude was 80 cents, or 1.4%, higher at $56.44 a barrel and earlier hit $56.75, the highest since last February. WTI Crude settled 1.8%, or 96 cents, higher at $53.21 per barrel. “Saudi Arabia in particular is ensuring through its additional voluntary production cuts that the market is undersupplied if anything,” said Eugen Weinberg of Commerzbank. The Saudi cut is part of an OPEC-led deal in which most producers will hold output steady in February. Record cuts by OPEC and its allies in 2020 helped oil recover from historic lows in April. Some analysts see further gains as likely. “We advise investors with a high risk tolerance to be long Brent or to sell its downside price risks,” said Giovanni Staunovo of UBS in a report on Tuesday.

Oil also gained on the expectation of a drop in U.S. crude stockpiles. Analysts expect crude inventories to fall by 2.7 million barrels for a fifth straight week of declines. The first of this week’s two supply reports, from the American Petroleum Institute, is due at 2130 GMT. The prospect of increased economic stimulus in the United States lent further support. President-elect Joe Biden, who takes office on Jan. 20, has promised “trillions” in extra pandemic-relief spending. Concerns about demand due to rising coronavirus cases worldwide limited gains.

Chinese authorities introduced new curbs in areas surrounding Beijing on Tuesday and Japan is to widen a state of emergency beyond Tokyo.

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 11 Mixed

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight – Be Safe Today
NYMEX Crude    $ 52.25 UP $.0100
NYMEX ULSD     $1.5735 DN $.0060
NYMEX Gas       $1.5288 DN $.0215
NEWS
Oil prices were little changed on Monday as tough coronavirus lock downs around the world renewed concerns about global fuel demand, while a stronger U.S. dollar also weighed on prices.

WTI Crude settled 1 cent higher at $52.25 per barrel. International benchmark Brent Crude fell 33 cents, or 0.6%, to settle at $55.66 per barrel.

“The renewed concerns about demand due to very high numbers of new corona cases and further mobility restrictions, plus the stronger U.S. dollar, are generating selling pressure,” Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg said. Worldwide coronavirus cases surpassed 90 million, according to a Reuters tally. Despite strict national lock downs, Britain is facing the worst weeks of the pandemic, and in Germany cases are still rising. Mainland China saw its biggest daily increase in virus infections in more than five months, authorities said, as new infections rose in Hebei, which surrounds the capital, Beijing. In Shijiazhuang, the provincial capital and epicentre of the new outbreak, people and vehicles are barred from leaving, as authorities seek to rein in the spread.

A stronger dollar, supported by hopes for more stimulus to boost the world’s largest economy, also weighed on oil prices. Oil is usually priced in dollars, so a stronger dollar makes crude more expensive for buyers with other currencies. Monday’s losses follow a strong week for oil prices. Brent and WTI rose almost 8% last week, supported by Saudi Arabia’s pledge for a voluntary oil output cut of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in February and March as part of a deal for most OPEC+ producers to hold production steady. “Although oil prices are declining today, the Saudi move is still keeping them at quite high levels,” said Bjornar Tonhaugen, Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets. “Today the correction is not massive, rather a logical adjustment caused by some bearish demand signals and by a strengthening U.S. dollar.”

The Saudi cut is expected to bring the oil market into deficit for most of 2021 even though lockdowns are hitting demand, analysts said. Brent could rise to $65 per barrel by summer 2021, Goldman Sachs said, driven by Saudi cuts and the implications of a shift in power to the Democrats in the United States.

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 08 Up

Fueling Strategy:Please fuel as needed today/tonight, Saturday prices will go up one cent then Sunday prices will jump UP 4 cents- Be Safe
NYMEX Crude    $ 52.31 UP $1.4100
NYMEX ULSD     $1.5795 UP $0.0414
NYMEX Gas       $1.5423 UP $0.0596
NEWS
Oil prices hit their highest level in nearly a year and were on track for a weekly gain on Friday, supported by Saudi Arabia’s pledge to cut output and strong gains in major equity markets. Brent Crude climbed 94 cents, or 1.8%, to $55.35 a barrel, and WTI Crude futures (WTI) settled $1.41, or 2.8%, higher at $52.24 per barrel, also its highest since late February. Both benchmarks were on track for weekly gains of more than 6%.
“People are realizing the market is tighter than it has been in a while and that the commitment by Saudi Arabia to cut back production is going to keep the market balanced despite the concerns about shut-ins from COVID,” said Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago. Saudi Arabia this week pledged extra, voluntary oil output cuts of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in February and March as part of a deal under which most OPEC+ producers will hold production steady during new lockdowns. Analysts said oil prices could see a correction in the coming months if fuel demand remains constrained by the pandemic. Strict restrictions on travel and other activity around the world to contain a surge in COVID-19 cases are weighing on fuel sales, weakening the prospect of an energy demand recovery in the first half of 2021.

The pandemic claimed its highest U.S. death toll yet this week, killing more than 4,000 people in a single day, while China reported the biggest rise in daily cases in more than five months and Japan may extend a state of emergency beyond the greater Tokyo region.

A global equities rally pushed Japan’s Nikkei and U.S. stock benchmarks to new records, as investors focused on further stimulus to mend the economic damage of the pandemic. The U.S. Congress may soon approve more pandemic relief, a scenario that became more likely after two Georgia Democrats won Senate seats that handed Democrats control of both houses of Congress once Biden is sworn in.

“The energy complex (is) placing particular focus on the democratic victories in the Georgia elections that, in turn, boost the likelihood of larger stimulus measures,” said Jim Ritterbusch of Ritterbusch and Associates.

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

Market Close: Jan 07 Up

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed tonight, Plan on Friday’s one cent move upward – Be Safe
NYMEX Crude    $ 50.83 UP $.2000
NYMEX ULSD     $1.5381 UP $.0094
NYMEX Gas       $1.4827 UP $.0077
NEWS
Oil prices rose on Thursday as Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest exporter, unilaterally agreed to cut output over the next two months and as U.S. crude stockpiles fell. It was not immediately clear how the storming of the U.S. Capitol by supporters of the President would impact oil markets, although some analysts believe President-elect Joe Bid’s administration will clamp down on U.S. oil production.

Brent Crude was up 22 cents, or 0.41%, at $54.52 per barrel, after gaining 1.3% overnight. WTI Crude gained 23 cents, or 0.45%, to trade at $50.86 per barrel. The contract rose 1.4% on Wednesday.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, said it would voluntarily cut 1 million barrels per day (bpd) of output in February and March, after OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers, including Russia, met earlier this week. “WTI crude seems poised to rise higher as the Biden administration will clamp down on U.S. crude production, the Saudis tentatively alleviated oversupply concerns with their 1-million bpd cut present, and as the dollar’s days seem numbered,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

A lower dollar, which makes oil cheaper because the commodity is mostly traded using the greenback, is also supporting prices, analysts said. U.S. crude stocks dropped and fuel inventories rose, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Crude inventories were down by 8 million barrels in the week to Jan. 1 to 485.5 million barrels, against a Reuters poll showing analysts expected a 2.1 million-barrel decline. The drop in crude stocks is a typical year-end occurrence as energy companies take oil out of storage to avoid tax bills. A sustained rise in WTI prices, though, may result in a resurgence in U.S. output. “If the U.S benchmark makes a sustained break above $50/bbl and beyond, it could encourage additional U.S. supply, which may be troublesome in the long run for many OPEC+ members,” said Kevin Solomon, energy market analyst at StoneX.

Trump supporters swarmed the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday, sending it into lock down, as Vice President Mike Pence refused a demand from the president to cancel his loss to President-elect Biden. Police have declared the situation secure and the certification of the election result has resumed.

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc.
“Serving the trucking industry since 1992”
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
 
 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” 

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