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Fueling Strategy: Please PARTIAL fill only tonight, Saturday prices will drop almost 7 cents then Sunday look for prices to go UP 2.5 cents~ Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 72.67 UP $.8400

NYMEX ULSD     $2.3693 UP $.0231

NYMEX Gas       $2.7034 UP $.0299

NEWS

July WTI crude oil on Friday closed up +0.84 (+1.17%), and July RBOB gasoline closed up +3.87 (+1.52%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Friday posted moderate gains.  Signs that U.S. lawmakers are close to a deal to raise the debt ceiling sparked a rally in stocks and risk assets Friday.   Also, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic news Friday showed strength in the economy that supports energy demand and crude prices.  However, gains in crude were limited after the dollar index rose to a 2-1/4 month high.

 

Stronger-than-expected U.S. economic reports Friday were bullish for energy demand and crude prices.  Apr personal spending rose +0.8% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.5% m/m.  Also, Apr capital goods orders nondefense ex-aircraft and parts, a proxy for capital spending, unexpectedly rose +1.4% m/m, stronger than expectations of a -0.1% m/m decline and the biggest increase in 16 months.  In addition, the University of Michigan U.S. May consumer sentiment index was revised upward by +1.5 to 59.2, stronger than expectations of 58.0.

 

The outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand is bullish for crude prices.  AAA is forecasting that as many as 42.3 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home this Memorial Day weekend, up +7% y/y and the highest for a Memorial Day weekend since 2005.

 

A bearish factor for crude was Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak’s comment Thursday that he doesn’t see any new steps from OPEC+ and the group will likely maintain current crude production levels when it meets next month.

 

On the bearish side, India’s Apr crude imports fell -8.3% y/y to 19.8 MMT as processors curbed operating rates amid a drop in petroleum-product exports.  India is the world’s third-largest crude-consuming country in the world.

 

In a bearish factor, Vortexa reported Monday that the amount of crude stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +1.3% w/w to 91.15 million bbl in the week ended May 19.

 

The ongoing halt of Iraqi crude exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan is tightening global oil supplies and is bullish for crude prices.  The Turkish government said it wants to negotiate a $1.5 billion settlement that it has been ordered to pay before allowing Iraqi crude exports to resume through its pipeline.  Oil exports of 500,000 bpd from the Turkish port of Ceyhan have been halted since March 25 after Iraq won an arbitration case from the International Chamber of Commerce that said Turkey violated a 1973 pipeline transit agreement by allowing crude from the Kurdish region to be exported without Iraqi government consent.

 

Crude oil prices are being undercut by signs that Russia has not delivered on its threat to cut crude output.  Tanker-tracking data from Bloomberg shows Russia’s crude exports in the four weeks to May 21 were more than 480,000 bpd higher than during the four weeks to February 26 to nearly 4 million bpd.  Crude shipments from Russian ports are +1.2 million bpd higher than at the end of 2022, with most of the crude going to India and China.  Russia has halted the publication of crude and condensate production data in an attempt to disguise if it has actually cut crude output.

 

Crude prices surged on April 3 after OPEC+ announced a surprise oil production cut of more than 1 million bpd starting May 1.  Saudi Arabia said the cuts were a “precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market.”  OPEC Mar crude production fell by -80,000 bpd to 29.16 million bpd.

 

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of May 19 were -3.0% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.8% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -17.2% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended May 19 rose +0.8% w/w to 12.3 million bpd, only 0.8 million bpd (-6.1%) below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

 

Baker Hughes reported Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended May 26 fell by -5 to an 1-year low of 570 rigs, falling further below the 2-1/2 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 17-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE
JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023
JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023
Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

 

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

 

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please PARTIAL fill only today/tonight, Friday prices will go UP 5.5 cents BUT will drop almost 7 cents Saturday~ Be Safe

 

NMEX Crude      $ 71.83 DN $2.5100

NYMEX ULSD     $2.3462 DN $0.0675

NYMEX Gas       $2.6735 DN $0.0477

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023

JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

  

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight, Thursday prices will go down 1/2 cents but Friday look for a big jump of 5+ cents ~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 74.34 UP $1.4300

NYMEX ULSD     $2.4137 UP $0.0520

NYMEX Gas       $2.7212 UP $0.0590

NEWS

July WTI crude oil on Wednesday closed up +1.43 (+1.96%), and July RBOB gasoline (closed up +5.90 (+2.34%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices posted moderate gains, with crude climbing to a 3-week high and gasoline climbing to a 5-week high.  Crude prices opened higher Wednesday on carryover support from Tuesday when Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister warned short sellers in the oil market of pain ahead.  Gains in crude accelerated after weekly EIA crude inventories unexpectedly plunged.  A bearish factor for crude was Wednesday’s rally in the dollar index to a 2-month high.

Crude prices have carryover support from Tuesday when Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prices Abdulaziz bin Salman said short sellers in the crude market “will be ouching like they did back in April,” when OPEC+ unexpectedly cut crude production.

Goldman Sachs on Monday said, “Inventory draws appear to have started” among global visible stocks, signaling a turning point for the global oil market.  Goldman reiterated its view that Brent crude would reach $95 per barrel in December.

The outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand is bullish for crude prices.  AAA is forecasting that as many as 42.3 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home this Memorial Day weekend, up +7% y/y and the highest for a Memorial Day weekend since 2005.

Crude has support on reduced Canadian crude output as wildfires in Alberta have halted at least 240,000 bpd and possibly 300,000 bpd of crude production from several Canadian crude producers.  The total number of wildfires in Alberta stood at 71 Tuesday afternoon, with 20 still considered out of control.   However, that’s down from 93 fires last Friday, with cooler temperatures and rain expected to provide further relief in the days ahead.

On the bearish side, India’s Apr crude imports fell -8.3% y/y to 19.8 MMT as processors curbed operating rates amid a drop in petroleum-product exports.  India is the world’s third-largest crude-consuming country in the world.

In a bearish factor, Vortexa reported Monday that the amount of crude stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +1.3% w/w to 91.15 million bbl in the week ended May 19.

The ongoing halt of Iraqi crude exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan is tightening global oil supplies and is bullish for crude prices.  The Turkish government said it wants to negotiate a $1.5 billion settlement that it has been ordered to pay before allowing Iraqi crude exports to resume through its pipeline.  Oil exports of 500,000 bpd from the Turkish port of Ceyhan have been halted since March 25 after Iraq won an arbitration case from the International Chamber of Commerce that said Turkey violated a 1973 pipeline transit agreement by allowing crude from the Kurdish region to be exported without Iraqi government consent.

Crude oil prices are being undercut by signs that Russia has not delivered on its threat to cut crude output.  Tanker-tracking data from Bloomberg shows Russia’s crude exports rose for the sixth week ending May 19 to nearly 4 million bpd.  Crude shipments from Russian ports are +1.2 million bpd higher than at the end of 2022, with most of the crude going to India and China.  Russia has halted the publication of crude and condensate production data in an attempt to disguise if it has actually cut crude output.

Crude prices surged on April 3 after OPEC+ announced a surprise oil production cut of more than 1 million bpd starting May 1.  Saudi Arabia said the cuts were a “precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market.”  OPEC Mar crude production fell by -80,000 bpd to 29.16 million bpd.

Wednesday’s weekly EIA inventory report was mostly bullish for crude prices.  EIA crude inventories unexpectedly plunged -12.46 million bbl versus expectations of a +2.0 million bbl build.  Also, EIA gasoline supplies fell -2.05 million bbl, a bigger draw than expectations of -1.6 million bbl.  In addition, EIA distillate supplies unexpectedly fell -561,000 bbl to a 1-year low versus expectations of a +500,000 bbl build.  On the bearish side, crude stockpiles at Cushing, the delivery point of WTI futures, rose +1.76 million bbl.

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of May 19 were -3.0% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.8% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -17.2% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended May 19 rose +0.8% w/w to 12.3 million bpd, only 0.8 million bpd (-6.1%) below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended May 19 fell by -11 to an 11-month low of 575 rigs, falling further below the 2-1/2 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 17-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023

JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

  

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight, Wednesday prices will go up 1/2 cents then Thursday prices will drop 1/2 cents  ~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 72.91 UP $.8600

NYMEX ULSD     $2.3617 DN $.0047

NYMEX Gas       $2.6622 UP $.0133

NEWS

Crude oil and gasoline prices this morning were moderately higher, with crude posting a 1-1/2 week high and gasoline climbing to a 5-week high.  Crude prices jumped today after Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister warned short sellers in the oil market of pain ahead.  Also, the outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand this Memorial holiday weekend is boosting crude prices.  On the bearish side is today’s rally in the dollar index to a 2-month high.

Jun nat-gas is moderately lower today as mild temperatures are seen curbing nat-gas demand for power generation.  Forecaster Atmospheric G2 said normal to slightly cooler-than-normal temperatures will be seen across the southern and eastern states next week, reducing nat-gas demand from electricity providers to power air conditioning with the cooler temperatures.  Also, negative carryover from today’s slump in European nat-gas prices to a 23-month low is bearish for nat-gas.

Crude prices jumped today on short covering after Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prices Abdulaziz bin Salman said short sellers in the crude market “will be ouching like they did back in April,” when OPEC+ unexpectedly cut crude production.

Goldman Sachs on Monday said, “Inventory draws appear to have started” among global visible stocks, signaling a turning point for the global oil market.  Goldman reiterated its view that Brent crude would reach $95 per barrel in December.

The outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand is bullish for crude prices.  AAA is forecasting that as many as 42.3 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home this Memorial Day weekend, up +7% y/y and the highest for a Memorial Day weekend since 2005.

Crude has support on reduced Canadian crude output as wildfires in Alberta have halted at least 240,000 bpd and possibly 300,000 bpd of crude production from several Canadian crude producers.  The total number of wildfires in Alberta stood at 81 Monday afternoon, with 23 still considered out of control.

Weakness in manufacturing activity in the U.S. and Europe is bearish for energy demand and crude prices.  Today’s news showed the U.S. May S&P manufacturing PMI fell -1.7 to 48.5, weaker than expectations of 50.0.  Also, the Eurozone May S&P manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell -1.2 to a 3-year low of 44.6, weaker than expectations of an increase to 46.0.

On the bearish side, India’s Apr crude imports fell -8.3% y/y to 19.8 MMT as processors curbed operating rates amid a drop in petroleum-product exports.  India is the world’s third-largest crude-consuming country in the world.

In a bearish factor, Vortexa reported Monday that the amount of crude stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +1.3% w/w to 91.15 million bbl in the week ended May 19.

The ongoing halt of Iraqi crude exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan is tightening global oil supplies and is bullish for crude prices.  The Turkish government said it wants to negotiate a $1.5 billion settlement that it has been ordered to pay before allowing Iraqi crude exports to resume through its pipeline.  Oil exports of 500,000 bpd from the Turkish port of Ceyhan have been halted since March 25 after Iraq won an arbitration case from the International Chamber of Commerce that said Turkey violated a 1973 pipeline transit agreement by allowing crude from the Kurdish region to be exported without Iraqi government consent.

Crude oil prices are being undercut by signs that Russia has not delivered on its threat to cut crude output.  Tanker-tracking data from Bloomberg shows Russia’s crude exports rose for the sixth week ending May 19 to nearly 4 million bpd.  Crude shipments from Russian ports are +1.2 million bpd higher than at the end of 2022, with most of the crude going to India and China.  Russia has halted the publication of crude and condensate production data in an attempt to disguise if it has actually cut crude output.

Crude prices surged on April 3 after OPEC+ announced a surprise oil production cut of more than 1 million bpd starting May 1.  Saudi Arabia said the cuts were a “precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market.”  OPEC Mar crude production fell by -80,000 bpd to 29.16 million bpd.

Last Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of May 12 were -0.1% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -6.4% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -16.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended May 12 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.2 million bpd, only 0.9 million bpd (-6.9%) below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended May 19 fell by -11 to an 11-month low of 575 rigs, falling further below the 2-1/2 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 17-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023

JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023

 

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight ~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 71.99 UP $.4400

NYMEX ULSD     $2.3664 UP $.0042

NYMEX Gas       $2.6489 UP $.0728

NEWS

Crude oil and gasoline prices Monday settled moderately higher, with gasoline climbing to a 3-1/2 week high.  The outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand this Memorial holiday weekend pushed crude prices higher on Monday.  Also, Goldman Sachs projects that the global oil market is shifting to a deficit as supplies begin to tighten.  However, concerns about the ongoing U.S. debt-ceiling talks are undercutting crude oil prices.

Goldman Sachs on Monday said, “Inventory draws appear to have started” among global visible stocks, signaling a turning point for the global oil market.  Goldman reiterated its view that Brent crude would reach $95 per barrel in December.

The outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand is bullish for crude prices.  AAA is forecasting that as many as 42.3 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home this Memorial Day weekend, up +7% y/y and the highest for a Memorial Day weekend since 2005.

Crude has support on reduced Canadian crude output as wildfires in Alberta have halted at least 240,000 bpd and possibly 300,000 bpd of crude production from several Canadian crude producers.  The total number of wildfires in Alberta stood at 86 Sunday, with 26 still considered out of control.

On the bearish side, India’s Apr crude imports fell -8.3% y/y to 19.8 MMT as processors curbed operating rates amid a drop in petroleum-product exports.  India is the world’s third-largest crude-consuming country in the world.

In a bearish factor, Vortexa reported Monday that the amount of crude stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +1.3% w/w to 91.15 million bbl in the week ended May 19.

The ongoing halt of Iraqi crude exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan is tightening global oil supplies and is bullish for crude prices.  The Turkish government said it wants to negotiate a $1.5 billion settlement that it has been ordered to pay before allowing Iraqi crude exports to resume through its pipeline.  Oil exports of 500,000 bpd from the Turkish port of Ceyhan have been halted since March 25 after Iraq won an arbitration case from the International Chamber of Commerce that said Turkey violated a 1973 pipeline transit agreement by allowing crude from the Kurdish region to be exported without Iraqi government consent.

Crude oil prices are being undercut by signs that Russia has not delivered on its threat to cut crude output.  Tanker-tracking data from Bloomberg shows Russia’s crude exports rose for the sixth week ending May 19 to nearly 4 million bpd.  Crude shipments from Russian ports are +1.2 million bpd higher than at the end of 2022, with most of the crude going to India and China.  Russia has halted the publication of crude and condensate production data in an attempt to disguise if it has actually cut crude output.

Crude prices surged on April 3 after OPEC+ announced a surprise oil production cut of more than 1 million bpd starting May 1.  Saudi Arabia said the cuts were a “precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market.”  OPEC Mar crude production fell by -80,000 bpd to 29.16 million bpd.

Last Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of May 12 were -0.1% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -6.4% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -16.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended May 12 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.2 million bpd, only 0.9 million bpd (-6.9%) below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended May 19 fell by -11 to an 11-month low of 575 rigs, falling further below the 2-1/2 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 17-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023

JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please,before 23:00 CST, have completely full of fuel, Friday prices will jump UP 6 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 71.86 DN $.9700

NYMEX ULSD     $2.4026 DN $.0200

NYMEX Gas       $2.5683 DN $.0009

NEWS

June WTI crude oil on Thursday closed down -0.97 (-1.33%), and June RBOB gasoline closed down -0.09 (-0.04%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Thursday posted moderate losses.  A rally in the dollar index  Thursday to a 1-3/4 month high was bearish for energy prices.  Crude prices were also under pressure Thursday on hawkish comments from the Fed and ECB, which raises concerns central banks will keep raising interest rates that could further slow economic growth and energy demand.  A rally in the S&P 500 Thursday to a 2-1/2 week high is positive for energy prices as it shows confidence in the economic outlook that is supportive of energy demand.

Hawkish central bank comments Thursday suggest policymakers support tighter monetary policy, which would be harmful to economic growth and energy demand.   Dallas Fed President Logan said inflation is too high, and the case for the Fed pausing interest rate increases at the June FOMC meeting isn’t yet clear.  Also, ECB Vice President Guindos said inflation in services is most worrying for the ECB, and it is too soon to say where the ECB will pause its interest rate hikes.

The outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand is bullish for crude prices.  AAA is forecasting that as many as 42.3 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home this Memorial Day weekend, up +7% y/y and the highest for a Memorial Day weekend since 2005.

Crude has support on reduced Canadian crude output as wildfires in Alberta have halted at least 240,000 bpd and possibly 300,000 bpd of crude production from several Canadian crude producers.  The total number of wildfires in Alberta rose to 92 Thursday afternoon from 91 on Wednesday, with 26 still considered out of control.

Crude prices also have support on crude buying by the government to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).  The Energy Department announced Monday that it is soliciting bids for up to 3 million bbl of sour crude to refill the SPR with deliveries in August and that it plans to purchase more oil later this year.

In a bearish factor, Vortexa reported Monday that the amount of crude stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +9% w/w to 86.69 million bbl in the week ended May 12.

The ongoing halt of Iraqi crude exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan is tightening global oil supplies and is bullish for crude prices.  The Turkish government said it wants to negotiate a $1.5 billion settlement that it has been ordered to pay before allowing Iraqi crude exports to resume through its pipeline.  Oil exports of 500,000 bpd from the Turkish port of Ceyhan have been halted since March 25 after Iraq won an arbitration case from the International Chamber of Commerce that said Turkey violated a 1973 pipeline transit agreement by allowing crude from the Kurdish region to be exported without Iraqi government consent.

Crude oil prices are being undercut by signs that Russia has not delivered on its threat to cut crude output.  Tanker-tracking data from Bloomberg shows Russia’s crude exports jumped above 4 million bpd in the week of April 28.  Russia has halted the publication of crude and condensate production data in an attempt to disguise if it has actually cut crude output.

Crude prices surged on April 3 after OPEC+ announced a surprise oil production cut of more than 1 million bpd starting May 1.  Saudi Arabia said the cuts were a “precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market.”  OPEC Mar crude production fell by -80,000 bpd to 29.16 million bpd.

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of May 12 were -0.1% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -6.4% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -16.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended May 12 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.2 million bpd, only 0.9 million bpd (-6.9%) below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended May 12 fell by -2 to an 11-month low of 586 rigs, falling further below the 2-1/2 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 17-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023

JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Potential Scam Alert

To Our Loyal Customers,

We are writing today to make you aware of a scam targeting Fleets that has come to our attention. This is how it works: While you wait for your truck to be serviced at Love’s, someone calls your company claiming to be from Love’s. They tell you that Shop Connect is down and Love’s is unable to process your invoice. As a result, they ask you to provide your EFS code so they can issue an EFS check for payment and close out the work order.

Love’s will never ask you to provide your EFS code due to ShopConnect being down. We are able to process invoices when ShopConnect is down, which is less the 1% of the time. Further, if ShopConnect is down, a work order cannot be closed outside of the ShopConnect system.

If at any time you have an issue with ShopConnect, please contact your sales representative for assistance.  As a final reminder, please do not disclose your EFS code to anyone other than your own driver.   Thank you for being a valued and loyal customer. We appreciate your business!

Love’s Fleet Sales Team
Love’s Travel Stops & Country Stores
Loves.com

 

Have a Great Day,
Loren R Bailey, President
Office: 479-846-2761
Cell: 479-790-5581
SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE
JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023
JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023
Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

 

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

 

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

 
“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please partial fill only today due to prices are UP over 7 cents but will drop 1.5 cents Thursday~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 72.83 UP $1.9700

NYMEX ULSD     $2.4226 UP $0.0587

NYMEX Gas       $2.5692 UP $0.0901

NEWS

June WTI crude oil on Wednesday closed up +1.97 (+2.78%), and June RBOB gasoline closed up +9.01 (+3.63%).   June Nymex natural gas (NGM23) is down -0.024 (-1.01%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Wednesday rallied sharply, with gasoline climbing to a 2-week high.  Wednesday’s main bullish factor is the broad rally in risk markets on hopes that U.S. lawmakers will soon agree to raise the debt ceiling.  Crude prices moved higher Wednesday despite a rally in the dollar index to a 7-week high and an unexpected increase in weekly EIA crude inventories.

Stronger-than-expected global economic news Wednesday was positive for energy demand and crude prices.  U.S. Apr housing starts unexpectedly rose +2.2% to 1.401 million, stronger than expectations of a decline to 1.400 million.  Also, Eurozone Apr new car registrations rose +17.2% y/y to 803,000, the ninth consecutive month that registrations have increased.  In addition, Japan’s Q1 GDP rose +1.6% (q/q annualized), stronger than expectations of +0.8%.

Crude prices also have support on crude buying by the government to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).  The Energy Department announced Monday that it is soliciting bids for up to 3 million bbl of sour crude to refill the SPR with deliveries in August and that it plans to purchase more oil later this year.

The outlook for stronger U.S. fuel demand is bullish for crude prices.  AAA is forecasting that as many as 42.3 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more from home this Memorial Day weekend, up +7% y/y and the highest for a Memorial Day weekend since 2005.

Crude has support on reduced Canadian crude output as wildfires in Alberta have halted at least 240,000 bpd and possibly 300,000 bpd of crude production from several Canadian crude producers.  The total number of wildfires in Alberta rose to 92 on Wednesday from 86 on Tuesday, with 27 still considered out of control.

In a bearish factor, Vortexa reported Monday that the amount of crude stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +9% w/w to 86.69 million bbl in the week ended May 12.

The ongoing halt of Iraqi crude exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan is tightening global oil supplies and is bullish for crude prices.  The Turkish government said it wants to negotiate a $1.5 billion settlement that it has been ordered to pay before allowing Iraqi crude exports to resume through its pipeline.  Oil exports of 500,000 bpd from the Turkish port of Ceyhan have been halted since March 25 after Iraq won an arbitration case from the International Chamber of Commerce that said Turkey violated a 1973 pipeline transit agreement by allowing crude from the Kurdish region to be exported without Iraqi government consent.

Crude oil prices are being undercut by signs that Russia has not delivered on its threat to cut crude output.  Tanker-tracking data from Bloomberg shows Russia’s crude exports jumped above 4 million bpd in the week of April 28.  Russia has halted the publication of crude and condensate production data in an attempt to disguise if it has actually cut crude output.

Crude prices surged on April 3 after OPEC+ announced a surprise oil production cut of more than 1 million bpd starting May 1.  Saudi Arabia said the cuts were a “precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market.”  OPEC Mar crude production fell by -80,000 bpd to 29.16 million bpd.

Wednesday’s weekly EIA inventory report was bearish for crude.  EIA crude inventories unexpectedly rose +5.04 million bbl versus expectations of a -2.0 million bbl draw.  Also, EIA distillate stockpiles unexpectedly rose +80,000 bbl versus expectations of a -1.5 million bbl draw.  In addition, crude supplies at Cushing, the delivery point of WTI futures, rose +1.46 million bbl.  Finally, EIA gasoline inventories fell -1.38 million bbl, a smaller decline than expectations of -2.0 million bbl.

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of May 12 were -0.1% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -6.4% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -16.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended May 12 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.2 million bpd, only 0.9 million bpd (-6.9%) below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023

JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

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As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please keep your tanks full of fuel today, tonight before 23:00 CST have completely full of fuel, Wednesday prices will jump UP 7 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 70.86 DN $.2500

NYMEX ULSD     $2.3639 DN $.0141

NYMEX Gas       $2.4791 UP $.0071

NEWS

The ongoing pressure in oil prices neglects an accelerating demand outlook and looming supply tightness, the Paris-based International Energy Agency warned on Tuesday.

Financial turbulence in the banking sector after the spring collapse of several U.S. and European banks steered investors away from historically riskier assets, such as oil. Prices fleetingly gained ground after a number of OPEC+ members announced an additional 1.6 million barrels per day of voluntary cuts at the start of April — only to rapidly surrender these gains, cooling analyst expectations of prices at $100 per barrel. ICE Brent futures with July expiry were trading at $75.14 per barrel at 12 p.m. London time, down 9 cents per barrel from Monday’s close.

Persisting concerns over “muted industrial activity and higher interest rates … combined have led to recessionary scenarios gaining traction and worries of a downward shift in the oil demand growth,” the IEA said in its latest monthly Oil Market Report. The agency highlighted that the recent price declines reflect a growing rift between investor sentiment and a tightening supply-demand picture. “The current market pessimism, however, stands in stark contrast to the tighter market balances we anticipate in the second half of the year, when demand is expected to eclipse supply by almost 2 mb/d,” the agency said, revising its global oil demand forecast by 200,000 barrels per day from its previous projection, to reach 102 million barrels per day in 2023.

The IEA expects demand to start exceeding supply as of this quarter, for the first time since early 2022, with this projected deficit set to deepen to nearly 2 million barrels per day by the end of the year. The world’s largest crude oil importer, China, will account for nearly 60% of global demand growth in 2023, the IEA anticipates, after Bejing’s consumption set its all-time record of 16 million barrels per day in March.

“Record demand in China, India and the Middle East at the start of the year more than offset lacklustre industrial activity and oil use in the OECD,” the IEA said. Chinese crude oil purchases were curtailed by spartan zero-Covid-19 restrictions that were in place for the majority of last year, with analysts widely expecting Beijing’s economic reopening to kickstart a surge in oil prices.

The OPEC+ group has in the past proven wearier to trust a resurgence of Chinese demand, with one delegate, who could only speak under condition of anonymity, previously underlining the pace of Bejing’s rebound has been at times overstated.

In its own Monthly Oil Market Report of May 11, OPEC acknowledges that “looking ahead, oil demand for most products in China has been increasing,” assessing Chinese domestic mobility and air travel have now recovered close to 80% of pre-pandemic levels, with oil demand set to experience 1 million barrels per day of year-on-year growth in the second quarter. The IEA and White House have criticized the OPEC+ alliance’s early-April voluntary cuts decision, stressing the strain on consumers. OPEC+ and the Paris-based agency have progressively diverged in their analysis of the global energy picture, from their outlook on oil prices and supply requirements, to their longer-term view on hydrocarbon investment.

The IEA in 2021 warned against brokering new fossil fuel projects thereon, if the world is to achieve its net-zero targets. OPEC+ officials have meanwhile advocated for simultaneous investment in hydrocarbons and renewables, to avoid energy shortages throughout the green transition. The OPEC group and its non-OPEC partners — critically, including sanctions-struck Russia — will adjourn in Vienna to review their crude oil production policy at the start of next month. OPEC’s second-largest producer, Iraq has so far dismissed the possibility of further reductions.

“At the next meeting, which will be held on the 3rd and 4th (of June), there will be no additional reduction, and as for Iraq, we cannot reduce further,” Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdel-Ghani said last week, in comments reported by Reuters.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JUNE 15 TO JUNE 18, 2023

JULY  22 TO JULY 30, 2023

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

See below marketing material and promotions for our sites. These promos will run from May 24th– June 27th. Please communicate these to your network and let me know if you need anything further!

Thank you for your partnership!

The 7FLEET Diesel Network is a nationwide network of truck diesel lanes established by 7-Eleven, Inc.  These truck-friendly locations are built with professional drivers in mind with payment acceptance, food offerings and other amenities which better serve the trucking industry.  The 7FLEET Diesel Network currently includes over 260+ Speedway locations in 24 states with future expansion to the 7-Eleven family of brands in the coming months which will bring the total site count over 450+.

 

For a complete list of participating locations visit: www.7FLEETNetwork.com

Join America’s #1 loyalty program and earn free stuff! Start earning points on the fuel and merchandise you already buy. Then redeem those points for coupons or gift cards to put towards your favorite items or get discounts on fuel with our Fuel Rewards! Use the link’s below to download app and sign up!

Speedy Rewards – Speedway   Speedway Fuel & Speedy Rewards on the App Store (apple.com)    Speedway Fuel & Speedy Rewards – Apps on Google Play

Special Promotions being ran from May 24th– June 27th

  • Buy 3 non alcoholic cooler items and get 10 cents off per gallon of gas
  • Buy 2 12oz Red Bulls and Get 1 Free
  • Any size Big Gulp for 89 cents
  • Get 10 Wings for $5

Jacob Thomas

Sr Regional Sales Manager

7FLEET Network

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