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Fueling Strategy: Please “KEEP YOUR TANKS FULL OF FUEL” today/tonight, Friday prices will jump UP 4.5 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 75.63 UP $.2800

NYMEX ULSD     $2.6644 UP $.0226

NYMEX Gas       $2.7432 UP $.0227

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 24 AT NOON

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please “KEEP YOUR TANKS FULL OF FUEL” today/tonight, Thursday prices will jump UP 3.5 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 75.35 DN $.4000

NYMEX ULSD     $2.6418 UP $.0424

NYMEX Gas       $2.7205 UP $.0261

NEWS

August WTI crude oil on Wednesday closed down -0.40 (-0.53%), and Aug RBOB gasoline closed up +2.61 (+0.97%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Wednesday settled mixed, with gasoline climbing to a 3-month nearest-futures high.  Crude prices Wednesday gave up an early advance and turned lower on a stronger dollar and a smaller-than-expected draw in weekly EIA crude inventories.  Crude initially moved higher Wednesday on the outlook for tighter crude supplies after Russia’s crude shipments fell to a 6-month low.  Also, Wednesday’s rally in the S&P 500 to a 15-month high shows confidence in the economic outlook that supports energy demand and crude prices.

A bullish factor for crude is a decline in Russian crude shipments.  Vessel-tracking data monitored by Bloomberg and corroborated by other sources showed Russian crude shipments in the four weeks to July 16 dropped to 3.1 million bpd, a 6-month low.

Strength in the crude crack spread is bullish for crude prices as the crack spread Wednesday climbed to a 1-month high.  The stronger crack spread encourages refiners to boost their crude purchases and refine it into gasoline and distillates.

Crude prices were under pressure Monday on news that Libya is restarting crude production at its 250,000 bpd Sharara oil field, its second-largest after protesters left the facility following their forced shutdown last week.  Crude production at the 70,000 bpd El Feel oil field has also resumed.

In a supportive factor for oil prices, Saudi Arabia week in early July said it would extend its unilateral 1 million bpd production cut through August, keeping Saudi Arabia’s crude output at about 9 million bpd, the lowest level in several years.  Also, Russia pledged to cut 500,000 bpd of crude output in August voluntarily.  However, Russia has yet to implement its pledged crude production cuts fully.  Russian crude production cuts totaled 350,000 bpd in June, below the 500,000 bpd of cuts it said it would implement in March.  Meanwhile, OPEC crude production in June rose +80,000 bpd to 28.57 million bpd.

A decline in crude in floating storage is bullish for prices.  Monday’s weekly data from Vortexa shows the amount of crude oil held worldwide on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week fell -21% w/w to 94.60 million bbl as of July 14.

An improvement in Chinese crude demand is bullish for prices after government trade data showed China’s June crude imports rose +4.6% m/m to 12.72 million bpd, the most in three years.

Wednesday’s weekly EIA report was mixed for crude prices.  On the bullish side, crude supplies at Cushing, the delivery point of WTI futures, fell -2.89 million bbl.  Also, EIA distillate supplies rose +13,000 bbl, fewer than expectations of +1.0 million bbl.  On the negative side, EIA crude inventories fell -708,000 bbl, a smaller draw than expectations of -2.5 million bbl.  Also, EIA gasoline stockpiles fell -1.07 million bbl, below expectations of -1.5 million bbl.

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of July 14 were +1.1% above the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.6% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -14.3% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended July 14 was unchanged w/w at 12.3 million bpd.  U.S. crude oil production is well below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended July 14 fell by -3 rigs to a 15-month low of 537 rigs.  That is well below the 3-1/4 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2, 2022.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 18-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 24 AT NOON

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

See below marketing material and promotions for our sites. These promos will run from August 2nd – August 29th. Please communicate these to your network and let me know if you need anything further!

Thank you for your partnership!

The 7FLEET Diesel Network is a nationwide network of truck diesel lanes established by 7-Eleven, Inc.  These truck-friendly locations are built with professional drivers in mind with payment acceptance, food offerings and other amenities which better serve the trucking industry.  The 7FLEET Diesel Network currently includes over 260+ Speedway locations in 24 states with future expansion to the 7-Eleven family of brands in the coming months which will bring the total site count over 450+.

 

For a complete list of participating locations visit: www.7FLEETNetwork.com

Join America’s #1 loyalty program and earn free stuff! Start earning points on the fuel and merchandise you already buy. Then redeem those points for coupons or gift cards to put towards your favorite items or get discounts on fuel with our Fuel Rewards! Use the link’s below to download app and sign up!

Speedy Rewards – Speedway   Speedway Fuel & Speedy Rewards on the App Store (apple.com)    Speedway Fuel & Speedy Rewards – Apps on Google Play

Special Promotions being ran from August 2nd – August 29th

  • Buy 3 non alcoholic cooler items and get 10 cents off per gallon of gas
  • Buy any size Big Gulp for only $.79 cents
  • Buy 2 Celsius for only $4.50
  • Buy 2 28oz Gatorade drinks for only $5

Jacob Thomas

Sr Regional Sales Manager

7FLEET Network

470-350-3590 | [email protected]

Fueling Strategy: Please “PARTIAL FILL ONLY” today/tonight, Wednesday prices will fall 3 to 3.5 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 75.75 UP $1.6000

NYMEX ULSD     $2.5994 UP $0.0352

NYMEX Gas       $2.6944 UP $0.0627

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 18 AT NOON

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 24 AT NOON

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 74.15 DN $1.2700

NYMEX ULSD     $2.5642 DN $0.0337

NYMEX Gas       $2.6317 DN $0.0120

NEWS

August WTI crude oil on Monday closed down -1.27 (-1.68%), and Aug RBOB gasoline closed down -1.20 (-0.45%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Monday posted moderate losses on weaker-than-expected Chinese economic reports and the restart of crude oil production in Libya as protesters left oilfields.

Crude prices were under pressure Monday on news that Libya is restarting crude production at its 250,000 bpd Sharara oil field, its second-largest, after protesters left the facility following their forced shutdown last week.  Crude production at the 70,000 bpd El Feel oil field has also resumed.

Signs of weakness in China’s economy, the world’s second-largest, are bearish for energy demand after China’s Q2 GDP rose +6.3% y/y, weaker than expectations of +7.1% y/y.

In a supportive factor for oil prices, Saudi Arabia week in early July said it would extend its unilateral 1 million bpd production cut through August, keeping Saudi Arabia’s crude output at about 9 million bpd, the lowest level in several years.  Also, Russia pledged to cut 500,000 bpd of crude output in August voluntarily.  However, Russia has yet to implement its pledged crude production cuts fully.  Russian crude production cuts totaled 350,000 bpd in June, below the 500,000 bpd of cuts it said it would implement in March.  Meanwhile, OPEC crude production in June rose +80,000 bpd to 28.57 million bpd.

A decline in crude in floating storage is bullish for prices.  Monday’s weekly data from Vortexa shows the amount of crude oil held worldwide on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week fell -21% w/w to 94.60 million bbl as of July 14.

An improvement in Chinese crude demand is bullish for prices after government trade data showed China’s June crude imports rose +4.6% m/m to 12.72 million bpd, the most in three years.

Last Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of July 7 were +0.7% above the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.0% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -13.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended July 7 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.3 million bpd, falling back from the prior week’s 3-year high of 12.4 million bpd.  U.S. crude oil production is well below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended July 14 fell by -3 rigs to a 15-month low of 537 rigs.  That is well below the 3-1/4 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2, 2022.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 18-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 18 AT NOON

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 24 AT NOON

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please keep your tanks topped today/tonight, before 23:00 CST fuel again, Saturday prices will go Up 1 cent and Sunday look for prices to drop 1.25 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 75.42 DN $1.4700

NYMEX ULSD     $2.5979 DN $0.0125

NYMEX Gas       $2.6437 DN $0.0349

NEWS

August WTI crude oil on Friday closed down -1.47 (-1.91%), and Aug RBOB gasoline closed down -3.49 (-1.30%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Friday posted moderate losses.  Crude oil prices were undercut as the dollar index recovered from a 15-month low and moved higher.  Also, technical selling sparked long liquidation in crude futures when crude prices failed to cross above the 200-day moving average.

In a bearish factor for crude oil, the International Energy Agency (IEA) on Thursday cut its global oil demand forecast for this year.  The IEA projects global 2023 oil consumption will increase by about 2%, or 2.2 million bpd, down -220,000 bpd from last month’s forecast.

Crude prices have support on concerns about global crude supply disruptions after Libya on Thursday was forced to shut production at its 250,000 bpd Sharara oil field and its 70,000 bpd El Feel oil field after protesters entered the projects.

An improvement in Chinese crude demand is bullish for prices after government trade data showed China June crude imports rose +4.6% m/m to 12.72 million bpd, the most in three years.

Hopes for additional stimulus measures from China to revive its economy is bullish for energy demand and crude prices after top officials of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said Friday that they have enough room to ease monetary policy if needed.

In a supportive factor for oil prices, Saudi Arabia last week said it would extend its unilateral 1 million bpd production cut through August, keeping Saudi Arabia’s crude output at about 9 million bpd, the lowest level in several years.  Also, Russia pledged last Monday to cut 500,000 bpd of crude output in August voluntarily.  However, Russia has yet to implement its pledged crude production cuts fully.  Russian crude production cuts totaled 350,000 bpd in June, below the 500,000 bpd of cuts it said it would implement in March.  Meanwhile, OPEC crude production in June rose +80,000 bpd to 28.57 million bpd.

An increase in crude in floating storage is bearish for prices.  Monday’s weekly data from Vortexa shows the amount of crude oil held worldwide on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +5.5% w/w to 112.07 million bbl as of July 7.

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of July 7 were +0.7% above the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.0% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -13.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended July 7 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.3 million bpd, falling back from the prior week’s 3-year high of 12.4 million bpd.  U.S. crude oil production is well below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended July 14 fell by -3 rigs to a 15-month low of 537 rigs.  That is well below the 3-1/4 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2, 2022.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 18-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 18 AT NOON

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 24 AT NOON

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please keep your tanks topped today/tonight, before 23:00 CST fuel again, Friday prices will go Up 1.5 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 76.89 UP $1.1400

NYMEX ULSD     $2.6104 UP $0.0108

NYMEX Gas       $2.6786 UP $0.0116

NEWS

August WTI crude oil Thursday closed up +1.14 (+1.50%), and Aug RBOB gasoline closed up +1.16 (+0.43%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Thursday added to this week’s gains, with crude posting a 2-1/2 month nearest-futures high and gasoline posting a 3-week high.  The action by Libya to halt production at its Sharara oil field, its second-largest, due to protesters pushed prices higher.  Also, a selloff in the dollar index Thursday to a 15-month low is bullish for energy prices.

Crude prices found support Thursday on concerns about global crude supply disruptions after Libya was forced to shut production at its 250,000 bpd Sharara oil field and its ‘s 70,000 bpd El Feel oil field after protesters entered the projects.

An improvement in Chinese crude demand is bullish for prices after government trade data showed China Jun crude imports rose +4.6% m/m to 12.72 million bpd, the most in three years.

Concerns about a slowdown in the global economy are bearish for energy demand and crude prices due to weaker-than-expected Chinese trade data.  China Jun exports fell -12.4% y/y, weaker than expectations of -10.0% y/y and the largest decline in over three years.  Also, Jun imports fell -6.8% y/y, weaker than expectations of -4.1% y/y.

Thursday’s action by the International Energy Agency (IEA) to cut its global oil demand forecast for this year is bearish for crude prices.  The IEA projects global 2023 oil consumption will increase by about 2%, or 2.2 million bpd, down -220,000 bpd from last month’s forecast.

In a supportive factor for oil prices, Saudi Arabia last week said it would extend its unilateral 1 million bpd production cut through August, keeping Saudi Arabia’s crude output at about 9 million bpd, the lowest level in several years.  Also, Russia pledged last Monday to cut 500,000 bpd of crude output in August voluntarily.  However, Russia has yet to implement its pledged crude production cuts fully.  Russian crude production cuts totaled 350,000 bpd in June, below the 500,000 bpd of cuts it said it would implement in March.  Meanwhile, OPEC crude production in June rose +80,000 bpd to 28.57 million bpd.

Oil prices continue to be undercut by concern about weaker Chinese energy demand.  China’s National Petroleum Corp (CNPC), China’s largest oil and gas producer, cut its 2023 China crude oil demand forecast on June 20 to +3.5% to 740 MMT from a March forecast of +5.1% to 756 MMT.  In another sign of weak Chinese oil demand, analytics firm Kpler recently reported that China’s crude oil stockpiles rose to a 2-year high in May of 966 million bbl, well above the five-year average of 858 million bbl.

An increase in crude in floating storage is bearish for prices.  Monday’s weekly data from Vortexa shows the amount of crude oil held worldwide on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +5.5% w/w to 112.07 million bbl as of July 7.

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of July 7 were +0.7% above the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.0% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -13.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended July 7 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.3 million bpd, falling back from the prior week’s 3-year high of 12.4 million bpd.  U.S. crude oil production is well below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended June 30 fell by -5 rigs to a 15-month low of 540 rigs.  That is well below the 3-1/4 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2, 2022.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 18-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 18 AT NOON

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 24 AT NOON

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please keep your tanks topped today/tonight, before 23:00 CST fuel again, Thursday prices will go Up 3 cents~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 75.75 UP $.9200

NYMEX ULSD     $2.5996 UP $.0159

NYMEX Gas       $2.6670 UP $.0443

NEWS

August WTI crude oil on Wednesday closed up +0.92 (+1.23%), and Aug RBOB gasoline  closed up +4.43 (+1.69%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Wednesday settled moderately higher, with crude climbing to a 3-1/4 month nearest-futures high and gasoline rising to a 3-week high.  The selloff in the dollar index (DXY00) Wednesday was bullish for energy prices.  Also, a rally in the S&P 500 to a 14-1/2 month high Wednesday signals optimism in the economy and energy demand.  Crude prices fell back from their best levels after weekly EIA crude inventories unexpectedly increased.

In a supportive factor for oil prices, Saudi Arabia last week said it would extend its unilateral 1 million bpd production cut through August, keeping Saudi Arabia’s crude output at about 9 million bpd, the lowest level in several years.  Also, Russia pledged last Monday to cut 500,000 bpd of crude output in August voluntarily.  However, Russia has yet to implement its pledged crude production cuts fully.  Russian crude production cuts totaled 350,000 bpd in June, below the 500,000 bpd of cuts it said it would implement in March.  Meanwhile, OPEC crude production in June rose +80,000 bpd to 28.57 million bpd.

Oil prices continue to be undercut by concern about weaker Chinese energy demand.  China’s National Petroleum Corp (CNPC), China’s largest oil and gas producer, cut its 2023 China crude oil demand forecast on June 20 to +3.5% to 740 MMT from a March forecast of +5.1% to 756 MMT.  In another sign of weak Chinese oil demand, analytics firm Kpler recently reported that China’s crude oil stockpiles rose to a 2-year high in May of 966 million bbl, well above the five-year average of 858 million bbl.

An increase in crude in floating storage is bearish for prices.  Monday’s weekly data from Vortexa shows the amount of crude oil held worldwide on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +5.5% w/w to 112.07 million bbl as of July 7.

Wednesday’s weekly EIA inventory report was mostly bearish for crude and its products.  EIA crude inventories unexpectedly rose +5.95 million bbl versus expectations of a -50,000 bbl draw.  Also, EIA gasoline supplies fell -4,000 bbl, less than expectations of -1.35 million bbl.  In addition, EIA distillate stockpiles unexpectedly rose +4.82 million bbl versus expectations of an -800,000 bbl draw.  On the positive side, crude supplies at Cushing, the delivery point of WTI futures, fell -1.61 million bbl.

Wednesday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of July 7 were +0.7% above the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.0% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -13.4% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended July 7 fell -0.8% w/w to 12.3 million bpd, falling back from the prior week’s 3-year high of 12.4 million bpd.  U.S. crude oil production is well below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended June 30 fell by -5 rigs to a 15-month low of 540 rigs.  That is well below the 3-1/4 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2, 2022.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 18-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 11 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 18 AT NOON

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight~Be Safe

NMEX Crude      $ 74.83 UP $1.8400

NYMEX ULSD     $2.5837 UP $0.0305

NYMEX Gas       $2.6227 UP $0.0531

NEWS

August WTI crude oil on Tuesday closed up +1.84 (+2.52%), and Aug RBOB gasoline closed up +5.31 (+2.07%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices Tuesday rallied, with crude posting a 5-week high and gasoline posting a 2-week high.  A slump in the dollar index Tuesday to a 2-month low was bullish for energy prices.   Crude prices also rose Tuesday after China signaled it would take more steps to revive its economy, a positive factor for economic growth and energy demand.

Crude prices rallied Tuesday after China took steps to support the property market by extending loan relief for developers.  Also, Chinese state-run financial newspapers today ran reports flagging the likely adoption of additional property-supportive policies, along with measures to boost business confidence.  Any improvement in China’s economy, the world’s second-largest, would be bullish for energy demand and crude prices.

In a supportive factor for oil prices, Saudi Arabia last week said it would extend its unilateral 1 million bpd production cut through August, keeping Saudi Arabia’s crude output at about 9 million bpd, the lowest level in several years.  Also, Russia pledged last Monday to cut 500,000 bpd of crude output in August voluntarily.  However, Russia has yet to implement its pledged crude production cuts fully.  Russian crude production cuts totaled 350,000 bpd in June, below the 500,000 bpd of cuts it said it would implement in March.  Meanwhile, OPEC crude production in June rose +80,000 bpd to 28.57 million bpd.

Oil prices continue to be undercut by concern about weaker Chinese energy demand.  China’s National Petroleum Corp (CNPC), China’s largest oil and gas producer, cut its 2023 China crude oil demand forecast on June 20 to +3.5% to 740 MMT from a March forecast of +5.1% to 756 MMT.  In another sign of weak Chinese oil demand, analytics firm Kpler recently reported that China’s crude oil stockpiles rose to a 2-year high in May of 966 million bbl, well above the five-year average of 858 million bbl.

An increase in crude in floating storage is bearish for prices.  Monday’s weekly data from Vortexa shows the amount of crude oil held worldwide on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +5.5% w/w to 112.07 million bbl as of July 7.

The consensus is for Wednesdays’ weekly EIA crude inventories to fall -50,000 bbl.

Last Thursday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of June 30 were -1.5% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.6% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -15.0% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended June 30 rose +1.6% w/w to 12.4 million bpd, matching the 3-year high of 12.4 million bpd posted in the week ended June 9.  U.S. crude oil production is well below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended June 30 fell by -5 rigs to a 15-month low of 540 rigs.  That is well below the 3-1/4 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2, 2022.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 18-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

Office: 479-846-2761

Cell: 479-790-5581

 

SCHEDULED OUT OF OFFICE

JULY 11 AT 3:00 PM

JULY 18 AT NOON

JULY 21 AT 3:00 PM

 

 

Tell Us How We’re Doing On Google Business

https://g.page/r/CUyL9wDolv04EAI/review

As always, thank you so much for being a part of the Fuel Manager Services, Inc. family, and we look forward to making this the best year yet!

 

“Celebrating 30-years of Service Excellence”

www.FuelManagerServices.com

 

“To give real service you must add something which cannot be bought or measured with money, and that is sincerity and integrity.” ~ Douglas Adams

Fueling Strategy: Please fuel as needed today/tonight~Be Safe

 

NMEX Crude      $ 72.99 DN $.8700

NYMEX ULSD     $2.5532 DN $.0059

NYMEX Gas       $2.5696 DN $.0197

NEWS

August WTI crude oil on Monday closed down -0.87 (-1.18%), and Aug RBOB gasoline closed down -1.97 (-0.76%).

A bullish factor for crude prices was last Friday’s announcement from the Biden administration that the U.S. is purchasing 6 million more barrels of crude oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, scheduled for October and November.

In a supportive factor for oil prices, Saudi Arabia last week said it would extend its unilateral 1 million bpd production cut through August, keeping Saudi Arabia’s crude output at about 9 million bpd, the lowest level in several years.  Also, Russia pledged last Monday to cut 500,000 bpd of crude output in August voluntarily.

On the negative side, Russia has yet to implement its pledged crude production cuts fully.  Russian crude production cuts totaled 350,000 bpd in June, below the 500,000 bpd of cuts it said it would implement in March.

Oil prices continue to be undercut by concern about weaker Chinese energy demand.  China’s National Petroleum Corp (CNPC), China’s largest oil and gas producer, cut its 2023 China crude oil demand forecast on June 20 to +3.5% to 740 MMT from a March forecast of +5.1% to 756 MMT.  In another sign of weak Chinese oil demand, analytics firm Kpler recently reported that China’s crude oil stockpiles rose to a 2-year high in May of 966 million bbl, well above the five-year average of 858 million bbl.

An increase in crude in floating storage is bearish for prices.  Monday’s weekly data from Vortexa shows the amount of crude oil held worldwide on tankers that have been stationary for at least a week rose +5.5% w/w to 112.07 million bbl as of July 7.

An increase in OPEC crude production is bearish for oil prices.  OPEC Jun crude production rose +80,000 bpd to 28.57 million bpd.

Last Thursday’s EIA report showed that (1) U.S. crude oil inventories as of June 30 were -1.5% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -7.6% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -15.0% below the 5-year seasonal average.  U.S. crude oil production in the week ended June 30 rose +1.6% w/w to 12.4 million bpd, matching the 3-year high of 12.4 million bpd posted in the week ended June 9.  U.S. crude oil production is well below the Feb-2020 record-high of 13.1 million bpd.

Baker Hughes reported last Friday that active U.S. oil rigs in the week ended June 30 fell by -5 rigs to a 15-month low of 540 rigs.  That is well below the 3-1/4 year high of 627 rigs posted on December 2, 2022.  U.S. active oil rigs have more than tripled from the 18-year low of 172 rigs seen in Aug 2020, signaling an increase in U.S. crude oil production capacity.

Crude oil and gasoline prices Monday settled moderately lower.  Concerns that a slowdown in China’s economy will crimp its energy demand weighed on crude prices Monday.  Also, comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen undercut crude prices when she said the risk of a U.S. recession isn’t “off the table.”  A bullish factor for energy prices was Monday’s decline in the dollar index to a 2-week low.

Crude prices are under pressure on Monday’s price reports from China that were weaker than expected, bolstering deflation concerns that are negative for economic growth and energy demand.  China Jun CPI was unchanged y/y, weaker than expectations of +0.2% y/y, and the weakest rate in 2-1/3 years.  Also, Jun PPI fell -5.4% y/y, weaker than expectations of -5.0% y/y and the steepest pace of decline in 7-1/2 years.

Comments on Sunday from U.S. Secretary Yellen were bearish for crude prices when she said inflation remains too high and the risk of recession in the U.S. is “not completely off the table.”

Have a Great Day,

Loren R Bailey, President

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Cell: 479-790-5581

 

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