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Market Close: Jan 27 Mixed

Fueling Strategy: Please keep tanks full of fuel today, tonight before 23:00 CST make sure your tanks are topped out, Friday prices will jump UP 7.5 cents then Saturday look for another 5 cents jump up in prices (+.4451 MTD Jan22) ~ Be Safe
NMEX Crude     $ 86.61  DN $.7400
NYMEX ULSD    $2.7945  UP $.0505
NYMEX Gas      $2.5210  DN $.0019
NEWS
Oil prices ended lower Thursday for the first time in three sessions, a day after ending at their highest levels in more than seven years. Investors remained focused on the threat of a Russian attack on Ukraine. “The market is on guard for a potential disruption of supply because globally supplies remain very tight,” said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at The Price Futures Group. Meanwhile, a “blowout” U.S. gross domestic product number also raised some concerns that the Federal Reserve might be even more aggressive in raising interest rates,” he said. “That is playing into the speculation that we could see five interest rate increases this year.” The U.S. economy expanded at an annual 6.9% pace in the fourth quarter, stronger than the 5.5% rise expected by economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.

Oil’s move came on the back of a stronger dollar, which weighed on dollar-denominated oil prices, said Flynn, but “the market is still concerned about this tight supply situation in the rising geopolitical risk” environment. Crude wobbled after Wednesday’s close as the Fed teed yo a march rate increase and Chairman Jerome Powell struck a hawkish tone in his news conference, but appears to have found its footing Thursday.

West Texas Intermediate crude for March delivery fell by 74 cents, or nearly 0.9%, to settle at $86.61 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after posting a climb of 2% Wednesday. March Brent crude, the global benchmark, shed 62 cents, or 0.7%, at $89.34 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, after trading as high as $91.04. April Brent, the most actively traded contract, lost 57 cents, or 0.6%, to $88.17 a barrel. Both WTI and Brent closed Wednesday at their highest since October 2014.

The fact that oil prices started the session higher, then lost steam, suggests that the day’s trading in oil is “likely being driven more by general investor sentiment, and perhaps moves in the U.S. dollar, than by specific energy markets news,” said Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management. A more pronounced price slide in the aftermath of the Fed announcement Wednesday was prevented “by the Ukraine crisis, as there are still concerns that Russian oil and gas deliveries could be hampered in the event of a military escalation,” said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Commerzbank, in a note. Russia is the world’s third largest oil producer and second largest supplier of natural gas. Russia has massed around 100,000 troops on Ukraine’s border as it demands that NATO never admit Ukraine and other ex-Soviet nations as members, and that the alliance roll back troop deployments in other former Soviet bloc nations — demands the U.S. and its allies have deemed non-starters. The tensions over Ukraine contributes to some uncertainty around a decision on crude production from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies next week.

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