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Market Close: Aug 04 UP

Fueling Strategy: Please partial fill only tonight, Saturday AM wholesale prices will drop 2 cents then Sunday AM look for wholesale prices to go back up one penny – Be Safe This Weekend!

NYMEX Crude $ 49.58 UP $.5500
NY Harbor ULSD $1.6486 UP $.0097
NYMEX Gasoline $1.6463 UP $.0144

NEWS
Oil futures finished sharply higher on Friday, but booked a weekly loss, as investors focused on a decline in rigs drilling for oil against next week’s OPEC meeting to assess compliance to an agreement to check global production.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate for delivery in September gained 55 cents, or 1.1%, to $49.58 a barrel. For the week, WTI slipped 0.3%, weighed by Thursday’s sharp sell off. October Brent crude on London’s ICE Futures exchange climbed 41 cents, or 0.8%, to settle at $52.42 a barrel. Brent ended the week down about 0.4%. Oil prices added to gains after a report showed that the number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil fell by 1 to 765 this week, while those drilling for gas declined by 3 to 189, bringing the overall oil-and-gas count to 954 for the week, according to Baker Hughes

Crude had already been on an up trend after employment data showed that the U.S. economy added 209,000 new jobs in July, significantly better than the average estimate of economists surveyed by MarketWatch for 180,000. Healthy U.S. labor-market readings imply healthy oil demand, which can help lift prices. “The [employment] data looked very strong … and the rig count seems to play in to the narrative that the U.S. shale patch has been struggling a little bit,” said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Futures Group. Flynn also pointed to looming storms near the Gulf Coast that could deliver a further jolt higher to prices, making traders reluctant to short the oil market, or bet on a near-term price drop.

Still, some see the longer-term outlook as subdued. A Wall Street Journal poll of investment banks at the end of July showed an average forecast of $53 a barrel this year for Brent crude, down $2 from the June survey. The banks projected WTI to average $51 a barrel this year, down a dollar from a month earlier. A strong gusher of U.S. oil the past three years has weighed on prices and the government is estimating domestic crude output will average 9.3 million barrels a day this year and hit a record of nearly 10 million in 2018.
The stubborn oil glut has dented the national coffers of many oil suppliers.

Even Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest crude exporter and one of the lowest-cost producers, had to adopt austerity measures to counter the effects of low prices. This year’s production caps led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries were the biggest reaction to the glut. More recently, Saudi Arabia and some smaller producers have started to moderate their exports. One of the implications of OPEC’s moves is falling exports into China. In June, China’s intake of Middle Eastern crude accounted for approximately one-third of the country’s total oil imports. The figure has been close to one-half in prior years, said the state-run Xinhua News Agency. The two-day OPEC meeting next week will include deliberation of to-date compliance levels to the output caps. Cartel members haven’t always followed through with their pledges in the past, and if U.S. production continues on a strong upward trend the appeal to ignore to the caps would only get stronger, said analysts.

Have a great day,

Loren R. Bailey, President
Fuel Manager Services Inc
“Serving the Trucking Industry Since 1992”

Categories: Fuel News
loren: Fuel Manager Services Inc. "Serving the trucking industry since 1992" I've been in and around the trucking industry for 45-years beginning in owner operator operations at Willis Shaw Express. I bought a small trucking company that I ran for 6-years then sold and went to work for J.B. Hunt Transport in 1982. After 10-years with Hunt, I started Fuel Manager Services, Inc., we are in our 29th year of serving the American trucking companies. Our simple goal was and is to bridge the gap between the trucking companies and the fuel suppliers.